For a full list of included polls, see previous Projection posts.
Update Sept. 6: Lean Tossup has pointed out that this polling was sponsored by the Wilson-Raybould campaign. As a result, it will not be part of the projection.
Also, this update includes a tiny change in Atlantic Canada (+0.1 seat CON, -0.1 seat LIB) due to fixing a small spreadsheet error related to rounding.
Projection as of the latest national poll (midpoint: August 28)
LIB -
CON - 142.0 (36.1%)
NDP -19.1 19.2 (12.6%)
BQ - 12.4 (4.4%)
GRN - 3.4 (9.1%)
IND -0.6 0.5
PPC - 0.5
If you're new to my 2019 projections, view key interpretive information here.
NDP -
BQ - 12.4 (4.4%)
GRN - 3.4 (9.1%)
IND -
PPC - 0.5
If you're new to my 2019 projections, view key interpretive information here.
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