2019 Result Map

Here is a map of the results of the 2019 General Election, as well as a potential seating plan (before the election of the Speaker). Over the next few weeks, I will add a series of analysis posts, so check back from time to time!

2015 Result Map

Here is a map of the results of the 2015 General Election. I am getting the blog ready for the 2019 General Election, so stay tuned!

2011 Result Maps

Updated to reflect change of lead in Montmagny--L'Islet--Kamouraska--Rivière-du-Loup

Here are the maps of the results of the 2011 General Election. Notice how little red is left in the Greater Toronto Area: the Liberals went from 32 to 7 seats in the area, a far steeper drop than the final projection's call for 18 GTA Liberal seats.

I remember saying to a commenter that complained about my low Ontario projection for the Liberals that many people would be surprised at how many seats the Grits lose around Toronto. I had no idea I would be this right...

2008 Result Maps!

I have decided to spice things up on this blog by adding maps! In this post, you can view the results of the 2008 election, and if there's enough demand, I'll be happy to post maps of the 2004 and 2006 results as well (yes, including the different boundary between Acadie--Bathurst and Miramichi in 2004).

In the future, I will occasionally be mapping my projections. I will not always do so because:

1. While aggregate seat projections are a hazardous exercise, specific projections are even more prone to error: the idea behind the aggregate projections is that if some ridings swing more, and others less, things will roughly balance out in the total.

2. It takes time!

I will, however, certainly map the last projection before the election, and possibly other "significant" ones (e.g. at the start of the campaign) as well.

Enjoy!