Latest poll median date: August 21
Projections reflect recent polling. If you are new to this blog, please read this post containing important information for interpreting the projections.

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Innovative Research Group: Tories Lead by 4 in Ontario

Macleans reports on an Ontario poll showing a 4-point gap between the two main parties. Here is where five recent polls stand on the Conservative advantage in that all-important province:

Nanos 4/3-5: 4.9%
Innovative 4/1-3: 4%
Harris-Decima 3/31-4/3: 9%
Léger 3/30-4/2: 5%
EKOS 3/28-31: 9.4%

These results are very consistent, and all suggest that there is not much change from 2008.

The aggregate seat projection remains unchanged.

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