Monday, April 11, 2011

Harris-Decima: Tories by 12, but Down in Ontario

The latest Harris-Decima survey shows a growing national Conservative lead, but suggests that their advantage in Ontario has disappeared. Consistently with other polls, H-D has the Bloc down to 34% in Québec. However, it also has the NDP down to 11%, which swings Gatineau back to the Bloc in the aggregate projection. The beneficiary of all this is the Conservatives, who are at 24% in the H-D poll and gain a projected seat:

CON - 149
LIB - 79
BQ - 47
NDP - 33

The average Conservative national lead is 11.3%.

I have not found evidence of a new Léger poll on the web, so this is it for today. Tomorrow, I will do the usual updates (though last Tuesday, only Nanos released a poll) as well as post the trends to date. Unfortunately, I won't be able to watch either debate live, but may take a look at parts of them after the fact.

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