Tuesday, September 8, 2015

New Ipsos Poll: Little Change

So much for infrequent updates. With things so tight, I just can't keep away!

A new Ipsos poll for Global just came out. It shows little change (its most notable feature might have been the Greens' poor numbers), and had a marginal effect on the projection:

CON - 123 (29.3%)
NDP - 119, -1 (31.9%, +0.3%)
LIB - 95, +1 (29.2%, +0.2%)
GRN - 1 (4.8%, -0.4%)
BQ - 0 (3.8%, -0.1%)

Interestingly, the NDP lost a seat despite increasing its vote share: its support in Québec is still trending up, but from now on, this trend will do little for its seat count.

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