Sunday, September 20, 2015

Nanos: Three Days, Three Leaders (bis)

Just like for the period Sept. 11-13, the three Nanos polls ending Sept. 17-19 have identified three different leaders: today's release had the Conservatives in front. The NDP is up marginally, suggesting that the statistically significant drop seen yesterday might have been that 1-in-20 event.

Today's projection has the Tories at their highest level of the month:

CON - 132, +1 (31.3%, +0.2%)
NDP - 114, -1 (30.1%, -0.1%)
LIB - 91 (28.5%)
GRN - 1 (5.6%, -0.1%)
BQ - 0 (3.6%, +0.1%)

Unadjusted numbers:

CON - 124 (29.7%)
NDP - 117 (30.9%)
LIB - 96 (29.2%)
GRN - 1 (5.9%)
BQ - 0 (3.7%)

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