Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Nanos: Tories by 8.5

Today's Nanos poll shows a small decrease of the Conservative national advantage. In the survey, the Tories actually pulled even with the Grits in Atlantic Canada, and are now within 10 of the Bloc in Québec. However, they are now essentially tied with the Liberals in Ontario, and dropped 10 points on the Prairies.

Some Lib-Con seat trading in Ontario and the Atlantic, but no net changes in the aggregate projection:

CON - 149
LIB - 79
BQ - 47
NDP - 33

The average Conservative national lead is 11%. It has been between 10.6 and 11.5 for an entire week.

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