Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Nanos: Tories by 10.7

Today's Nanos poll again contains little action. We can simply note that Ontario is now a 5.4% Conservative lead, exactly the same as in 2008, while the Bloc is back up to 38.7% in Québec.

The projection is again unchanged:

CON - 150
LIB - 79
BQ - 48
NDP - 31

The average Conservative lead is down to 11.4%, mostly due to the depreciation of the COMPAS poll.

This Hill Times reported two days ago on a Forum Research poll. However, the only regional figures reported were for the Bloc and the NDP, so I am not including the survey in the projection. If I did so based on the available numbers, the NDP would gain a seat from the Bloc and the Tory national lead would be marginally higher.

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