Macleans reports on an Ontario poll showing a 4-point gap between the two main parties. Here is where five recent polls stand on the Conservative advantage in that all-important province:
Nanos 4/3-5: 4.9%
Innovative 4/1-3: 4%
Harris-Decima 3/31-4/3: 9%
Léger 3/30-4/2: 5%
EKOS 3/28-31: 9.4%
These results are very consistent, and all suggest that there is not much change from 2008.
The aggregate seat projection remains unchanged.