At the same time, I got rid of some rounding when modifying the 2015 provincial baselines to reflect such adjustments to riding-level 2015 baselines. That swings Québec back to the Liberals (but it's basically a tie either way).
Update Aug. 13: Ugh. I realized that when playing around with regional adjustments, I missed a row when I pasted the one I settled on in the end. That row is Rimouski-Neigette--Témiscouata--Les Basques, which should be marginally Liberal rather than NDP.
Seats projected ahead as of the latest national poll (midpoint: August 4)
CON - 142
BQ - 11
GRN - 5
IND - 1
If you're new to my 2019 projections, view key interpretive information here.
The popular vote projections are not affected by these updates.
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