The following poll has been added to the model:
Nanos' 9/23-25 national poll (national results only; current weight among national polls: 22%)
For a full list of included polls, see previous Projection posts.
Today's Nanos update has the Tories and Bloc down, the NDP up, and the Liberals and Greens marginally up. The Liberals increase their lead in the projection, while the NDP regains third spot.
Projection as of the latest national poll (midpoint: September 24)
LIB - 153.2 (33.9%)
CON - 144.4 (36.0%)
NDP - 18.5 (12.7%)
BQ - 17.8 (5.0%)
GRN - 3.1 (9.1%)