Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Léger Marketing National Poll

Here is the survey report. This is a large poll, and mainly confirms the trends in Ontario, and west of it. However, contrary to most polls by non-Québec firms, this Léger poll still has the Liberals within 3% of the Bloc. Also, since mid-September, the Liberals have been doing very well in Atlantic Canada, and the Tories poorly - maybe one region of the country did appreciate Ignatieff's stand after all.

The aggregate projection shows a further strengthening of the Tories, but I believe that things will now stabilize:

CON - 140
LIB - 87
BQ - 48
NDP - 33

Given Layton's plans to support the government on the Liberal non-confidence motion, Ignatieff will likely have a few months to get the Liberal number to a more respectable level.

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