Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

EKOS: Tories Lead by 2.4

As the mystery of the Guergis affair engulfs Ottawa, the Conservative lead has slipped according to this week's EKOS poll. The big news out of the poll is the 5.5% Liberal lead in Ontario (last week, the Conservatives had a 7.7% lead there). Also, the Bloc has dropped 4.7% from last week, and now sits at 34.7% in Québec - this change (surprising given the scandals in both Ottawa and Quebec City) is within the margin of error.

Not much change in the aggregate projection: Grits take back one Ontario seat.

CON - 133
LIB - 83
BQ - 53
NDP - 39

Tory average national lead is back down to 5.3%.

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