Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

EKOS: Conservatives Lead by 4.6

This week's EKOS poll bears few surprises. The only notable result is the dismal 13.8% Tory number in Québec, which is to be expected given the "Québec bashing" by Conservative MPs from Québec, and amid talk of the Conservative legislation reducing Québec's weight in the Commons.

In fact, the poll suggests so little movement that although it accounts for almost 40% of my projection (due to the small number of other recent polls), it did not cause any change:

CON - 133
LIB - 83
BQ - 53
NDP - 39

Conservative average national lead = 5.4%.

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