Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

EKOS: Tories Lead by 4.6

For the second week in a row, the EKOS poll detects a drop in the Conservative lead over the Liberals. The most notable result in this survey is the 4-point Grit lead in Ontario, which contrasts with the 10.8% Tory lead there in the latest Nanos poll. It's not all good news for the Liberals though: their 15.1% in MB/SK is very low, and (according to EKOS methodology) they have fallen 1.1% behind the Greens in BC.

This poll does not change the aggregate projection, although it did cause regional changes and solidify some red Ontario seats:

CON - 133
LIB - 82
BQ - 53
NDP - 40

The average national Conservative lead is 6.5%.

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