Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Ipsos: Tories Lead by 8; Léger Québec Poll has posted the regional breakdown of an Ipsos Reid poll released last weekend. As usual, relative to other pollsters, Ipsos has the Tories very strong out West, and the Bloc very strong in Québec. The interesting numbers are in Atlantic Canada, where the Tories lead by 17, and in Ontario, where the Grits lead by 5. Adding this poll to the projection mix causes a seat swap between the two main parties.

Moreover, Léger Marketing has conducted a Québec poll. No big surprises there, though there were slight drops for the Tories and Dippers, and slight increases for the Grits and Bloquistes. This poll does not change the Québec projection.

The overall seat numbers are thus still:

CON - 133
LIB - 82
BQ - 53
NDP - 40

The average national lead by the Tories is now 6.4%.

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