Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Friday, March 5, 2010

Harris-Decima: Dead Heat

Harris-Decima has finally posted the regional breakdown of their poll. The favourable headline figures for the Liberals are due to results in two regions: Atlantic Canada, where this poll has the Liberals up by 15 over the NDP and by 20 over the Tories, and BC, where this poll sides with EKOS and Angus showing a tight race (rather than with Ipsos and Environics, which show a large Tory lead).

Little change in the aggregate projection:

CON - 132
LIB - 92
BQ - 49
NDP - 35

The very observant among you will notice that the Québec numbers changed even though I had included Québec results from this poll yesterday. It turns out that the news article I referred to had a typo...

The Tory national polling average lead is down to 2.8%.

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