Thursday, May 6, 2010

EKOS: Conservatives Lead by 7

This week's EKOS poll is available, and east of Alberta, it is good news for the Tories, who score a 4-point lead in both Ontario and the Atlantic as well as a whopping 27-point lead over the NDP in MB/SK. However, they had under 50% in Alberta and under 30% in BC, where there is a tight three-way race. Conversely, the only ray of hope in this poll for the Liberals is BC: it's pretty much doom and gloom everywhere else.

The NDP fell back to 16% nationally, and this was not a good poll for them. Just like several polls last week suggested an NDP surge, we now have two polls today suggesting that it has already abated. Did anything happen between last week and this week, or is this just a coincidence?

Incorporating both this poll and the Nanos poll into the aggregate projection produces little change:

CON - 133
LIB - 82
BQ - 53
NDP - 40

The average Tory national lead is now 6.2%.

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