Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Angus Reid: Tories Lead by 4

Angus Reid came out with a strong poll for the NDP yesterday, putting them at 20% nationally. However, while the Ontario NDP number was very strong at 22%, their BC number lagged the Liberals by 8% (25 vs. 33).

The good news for the Tories in the poll are that they're essentially tied with the Grits in Ontario, and back up to a decent 19% in Québec. The bad news is that they're tied with the Liberals in BC.

Little change in the aggregate projection:

CON - 133
LIB - 92
BQ - 47
NDP - 36

National and Québec numbers for a Harris-Decima poll were also released yesterday (Libs and Tories tied at 31 nationally), but no regional breakdown is available. If the breakdown doesn't come out by the time I do the EKOS update tomorrow, then I'll just treat the Harris-Decima poll as a regional Québec poll.

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