Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Saturday, February 5, 2011

Ipsos: Tories Lead by 5

One poll this week: Ipsos Reid confirming the polling consensus everywhere except in Ontario, where it puts the Liberals in front by 4 points. This pulls the Tory national lead down to 5 points. Ipsos also has the federalist vote split almost equally four ways in Québec, though of course the Green 12% is suspiciously high.

There has been some seat swapping, but the aggregate seat projection is unchanged:

CON - 137
LIB - 86
BQ - 52
NDP - 33

However, the Conservatives' average popular vote lead drops to 7.3%.

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