As the mystery of the Guergis affair engulfs Ottawa, the Conservative lead has slipped according to this week's EKOS poll. The big news out of the poll is the 5.5% Liberal lead in Ontario (last week, the Conservatives had a 7.7% lead there). Also, the Bloc has dropped 4.7% from last week, and now sits at 34.7% in Québec - this change (surprising given the scandals in both Ottawa and Quebec City) is within the margin of error.
Not much change in the aggregate projection: Grits take back one Ontario seat.
CON - 133
LIB - 83
BQ - 53
NDP - 39
Tory average national lead is back down to 5.3%.
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