Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Saturday, May 1, 2010

Léger Marketing: Conservatives Lead by 11

A national Léger poll (regional breakdown via shows a bit of a "back to the future" situation, with results close to those of the 2008 election: the Liberals and Tories are down slightly from October 2008, while the NDP is up slightly. The biggest news in this poll is the Conservatives' 9-point lead in Ontario. That's grossly out-of-line with other pollsters, who recently averaged a 2-point Liberal lead there.

Adding this poll to the mix moves one seat from the Liberals to the Conservatives:

CON - 131
LIB - 82
BQ - 54
NDP - 41

Conservative average national lead is now 5.7%.

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