Thursday, December 10, 2009

New EKOS

The first national poll in two weeks is out, and it is... completely underwhelming. Basically, nothing changed. Due to the scarcity of polls lately, this one was weighed almost 50% in my projection. But despite half the inputs being new, the only change was in Newfoundland and Labrador, where the Grits lose a seat to the dippers. So the new totals are:

CON - 147
LIB - 71
BQ - 51
NDP - 39

This is a new low for the Liberals, and a new high for the NDP. This trend is unlikely to persist, however: the Liberals simply don't have much room left to slide, and the NDP is really milking out every possible seat in this projection, given that their national numbers are actually still below where they were in the 2008 election.

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