tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post4306423819293896272..comments2023-06-03T03:51:36.883-07:00Comments on Canadian Election Watch: Nanos: Tories' Lead Down to 9.6, Liberals Ahead in OntarioElection Watcherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-75319939892814543672011-04-06T03:04:00.315-07:002011-04-06T03:04:00.315-07:00Anonymous 1: If you're predicting Nanos number...Anonymous 1: If you're predicting Nanos numbers, the 7% for the Greens seems quite optimistic.<br /><br />Anonymous 2: I'd say that the chances of a Conservative majority, while below 50%, are still non-negligible. Of course, to get his wish, Harper definitely needs to turn his campaign around, or needs a big Ignatieff gaffe. If the Tories keep a strong minority, I don't think they'd push Harper out, but he may leave voluntarily.Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-84999655564102617322011-04-05T21:31:31.702-07:002011-04-05T21:31:31.702-07:00I guess that Harper won't get his majority.......I guess that Harper won't get his majority....hmm ....wonder who will be up to replace him. <br /><br />People are saying he has had 3 shots at it and now it will be time for someone else to give it a try... (Strike 3 your out )Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-17058936875286866382011-04-05T21:28:27.056-07:002011-04-05T21:28:27.056-07:00Here is my prediction for this weekend: ...Here is my prediction for this weekend: <br /><br />CONSERVATIVE 35<br />LIBERALS 31<br />NDP 18<br />BLOC 9<br />GREEN 7Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-20724793692363227362011-04-05T16:43:08.572-07:002011-04-05T16:43:08.572-07:00Thanks Volkov - I was just going to reply to Progr...Thanks Volkov - I was just going to reply to Progressive Tory. What you said is exactly right. In the aggregate numbers, I have the Liberals and Conservatives both up by 1%, hence the 11.5% Tory national lead stated in the post. The Liberals lose a few seats because I still have them behind by 8% in Ontario, compared to 5.4% in 2008.Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-83335856507943903712011-04-05T16:33:19.612-07:002011-04-05T16:33:19.612-07:00They're only up 4% in Nanos - this is an aggre...They're only up 4% in Nanos - this is an aggregate projection, after all, other polls count. Watcher even noted that if you did a projection based on Nanos, the Libs would win 88 seats.Kyle H.https://www.blogger.com/profile/06049961780427560881noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-66533964372968707172011-04-05T07:46:21.621-07:002011-04-05T07:46:21.621-07:00The Liberals are up 4% from 2008 and lose seats?The Liberals are up 4% from 2008 and lose seats?Jordanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17547900136161596590noreply@blogger.com