tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post3333590399350375317..comments2023-06-03T03:51:36.883-07:00Comments on Canadian Election Watch: UK Election TomorrowElection Watcherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-72631310457382981812010-05-05T18:44:28.215-07:002010-05-05T18:44:28.215-07:00I agree that the uniform national swing model will...I agree that the uniform national swing model will overstate Labour's seat number. However, I don't think "swings" to staying home will make Labour fall as low as 151. I guess we'll find out soon!Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-60631885336543764952010-05-05T17:30:27.890-07:002010-05-05T17:30:27.890-07:00Opps, I made a typo on my posting as to the number...Opps, I made a typo on my posting as to the numbers. LD and Cons are one too high each.<br /><br />I still think people are under estimating the swing from Labour to non voting. Using that explains 1997 much better than all the traditional models.Bernardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.com