tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post5149027029212718208..comments2023-06-03T03:51:36.883-07:00Comments on Canadian Election Watch: Angus Reid Regionals: NDP at 27% in OntarioElection Watcherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-11299702935211548932011-04-27T19:53:32.885-07:002011-04-27T19:53:32.885-07:0038-29, no?38-29, no?Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-42159222124994044652011-04-27T11:36:41.659-07:002011-04-27T11:36:41.659-07:00"large NDP lead in Québec (9% here)" - D..."large NDP lead in Québec (9% here)" - Doesn't AR show an 11% lead?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-64995944180524802242011-04-27T03:42:37.400-07:002011-04-27T03:42:37.400-07:00*Partialing, not partially :)*Partialing, not partially :)Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-64800258310343872172011-04-27T03:40:15.996-07:002011-04-27T03:40:15.996-07:00The phasing in of the GTA effect accounts for 3 ne...The phasing in of the GTA effect accounts for 3 net extra Tory seats. That's the extent of their gains in the past few days in Ontario, and almost the extent of their national gains as well. Partially out methodological changes, the Tories have been flat. I will have improved trend graphs tonight that show this clearly :)<br /><br />As for why the Tories didn't drop, it's happening mostly because last week's polls, when the Liberals were still in respectable territory, are being depreciated. Also, the Environics poll helps sustain the Tories.Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-54754663173496877672011-04-27T02:45:07.079-07:002011-04-27T02:45:07.079-07:00Did I miss some polls? Why are the Tories so high ...Did I miss some polls? Why are the Tories so high in Ontario? Also, it seems you have the Conservatives rising in the past couple of days, how come? The last couple of polls we had were not that favourable for the Conservatives, with Ekos giving them a short 5-points lead, as did Angus-Reid?<br /><br />Although I guess it depends how you use the nanos polls as they are showing a huge lead in Ontario.<br /><br />Just thought I would ask.Bryan Breguethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10546699915684107021noreply@blogger.com