tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post3332547092102533274..comments2023-06-03T03:51:36.883-07:00Comments on Canadian Election Watch: Projected Winner by RidingElection Watcherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-8462171318066894892015-10-19T13:05:53.253-07:002015-10-19T13:05:53.253-07:00From being in those two Vancouver Island ridings.....From being in those two Vancouver Island ridings....you are totally incorrect...these two north Island ridings are very Libertarian/Reform minded people, who will and have many times voted Conservative... CEW has done an excellent job on all predictions and I believe they are bang on with these two....very close, but leaning right.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-87325558592508579012015-10-19T12:52:33.391-07:002015-10-19T12:52:33.391-07:00@Gideon: No. I probably should, but didn't bot...@Gideon: No. I probably should, but didn't bother, partly because the size of the incumbent effect is usually tiny, except for a few cases where it is huge.<br /><br />@Anonymous: Both of those are very close. Note that I have the Tories 7% ahead of the NDP provincially. If the NDP manages to close the gap, those seats should go NDP.Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-60296487323871394722015-10-19T12:07:35.106-07:002015-10-19T12:07:35.106-07:00It would have to be a Conservative landslide for t...It would have to be a Conservative landslide for the Conservatives win two seats on Vancouver IslandAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-17263510994442058572015-10-19T12:00:19.140-07:002015-10-19T12:00:19.140-07:00Are you going to give an incumbent adjustment to c...Are you going to give an incumbent adjustment to close ridings?Gideonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16577149497169359851noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-11331226700657082742015-10-19T10:52:26.634-07:002015-10-19T10:52:26.634-07:00Thanks! It's not too tiring, apart from yester...Thanks! It's not too tiring, apart from yesterday with the avalanche of polls - good thing it wasn't a work day! I'm writing a post on projections around the web, and will include a link to Elections Canada - thanks for the suggestion.Election Watcherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10276655533153494264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4485266386769806559.post-82402205080630790252015-10-19T08:27:22.545-07:002015-10-19T08:27:22.545-07:00@ElectionWatch, Want to say thank you for all the ...@ElectionWatch, Want to say thank you for all the continued hard work, late nights and for the amazing blog. Must be such tiring work. The blog is incredibly informative and also, I was wondering maybe you should post a link for voters if they need to vote on Election day for riding information and the like. If the Liberals win, and/or if they are supported by the NDP, I'm almost certain they will repeal the (Un)Fair Elections Act and make it a lot more easier to vote and even bring in online voting so I think your blog would actually become super popular and helpful! Plus, you are also very knowledgeable about a lot of issues which would guide a lot of uninformed voters on their choices. Thanks for taking the time to answer all questions and comments too! Much Appreciated!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com